University intellectuals and the military, what did we (not) make of our Malvinas war?

Abstract

In the year 2021, the ESGC's Advanced Course in Military Strategy and Senior Management had to solve a long-term military strategy problem that in the situation was posed as a requirement of the National Strategy that demanded answers about the future, so it had to immerse itself in strategic uncertainty for its resolution. Here is the problem: The Strategic Planning area was asked to propose actions to optimise the strategic situation for the period 2030 - 2050 in the Antarctic and South Atlantic area, based on three problems detected by the national strategy, which foresees at least three working hypotheses. The aspects to be resolved in the case of Argentina are as follows: > Characteristics of the future conflict > Scenarios - Strategic environment. > Use of the "proxy" concept for the confrontation in the South Atlantic (positions and actors involved). > Capabilities required of the Argentine Military Instrument (IMA) for the cases: > Neutrality > Strategic confluence with one of the two powers, Eastern or Western. > Proposed general requirements for other branches of government